Let us suppose that Alexander could have acted quite differently. Let us assume that, in accordance with the prescription of those who censure him, and who profess a knowledge of the final end of the movement of humanity, he could have followed that programme of nationalism, of freedom, of equality, and of progress (there seems to be no other) which his modern critics would have selected for him. Let us suppose that programme could have been possible, and had actually been formulated at that time, and that Alexander could have acted in accordance with it. What, then, would have become of the activity of all the persons who were opposing the tendency of the government of that day—of the activity which, in the opinion of the historians, was good and beneficial? There would have been none of that activity; there would have been no life; there would have been nothing.

Once admit that human life can be guided by reason, and all possibility of life is annihilated.

II

If one admits, as historians do, that great men lead humanity to the attainment of certain ends, such as the aggrandisement of Russia or of France, or the balance of power, or the diffusion of the ideas of the revolution, or of general progress, or anything else you like, it becomes impossible to explain the phenomena of history apart from the conceptions of chance and genius.

If the object of the European wars of the beginning of this century had been the aggrandisement of Russia, that object might have been attained without any of the preceding wars, and without invasion of foreign territory.

If the object were the aggrandisement of France, that aim might have been attained apart from the revolution and the empire. If the object were the diffusion of ideas, the printing of books would have attained that object much more effectually than soldiers. If the object were the

rog'.ess of civilisation, one may very readily assume that there are other lore effectual means of diffusing civilisation than the slaughter of men nd the destruction of their property.

Why did it come to pass in this way and no other? Because it happened 0 . ‘Chance created the position; genius took advantage of it,’ says his- ory.

But what is chancel What is genius ?

The words chance and genius mean nothing actually existing, and so annot be defined. These words merely denote a certain stage in the omprehension of phenomena. I do not know how some phenomenon is irought about; I believe that I cannot know; consequently 1 do not rant to know and talk of chance. I see a force producing an effect out of iroportion with the average effect of human powers; I do not under- tand how this is brought about, and I talk about genius.

To a flock of sheep the sheep who is every evening driven by the hepherd into a special pen to feed, and becomes twice as fat as the rest,, nust seem to be a genius. And the circumstance that every evening that heep does not come into the common fold, but into a special pen full of >ats, and that that same sheep grows fat and is killed for mutton, must iresent itself to the minds of the other sheep as a singular conjunction if genius with a whole series of exceptional chances.

But the sheep need only cease to assume that all that is done to them s with a view to the attainment of their sheepish ends; they need only idmit that the events that occur to them may have ends beyond their cen, and they will at once see a unity and a coherence in what happens tvith the fatted sheep. Even though they will not know for what end he is fattened, at least they will know that all that happens to him does not happen by chance, and they will have no need to resort to the conception of chance, nor to the conception of genius.

It is only by renouncing all claims to knowledge of an immediate comprehensible aim, and acknowledging the final aim to be beyond our ken, that we see a consistent whole in the life of historical persons. The cause is then revealed to us of that effect produced by them out of proportion with the common powers of humanity, and we have no need of the words chance and genius.

We have only to admit that the object of the convulsions of the European nations is beyond our knowledge, and that we know only the facts, consisting mainly of murders committed at first in France, then in Italy, then in Africa, in Prussia, in Austria, in Spain, and in Russia, and that the movements from west to east and from east to west constitute the essence and end of those events, and we shall not need to see something exceptional— genius —in the characters of Napoleon and of Alexander, and shall indeed be unable to conceive of those persons as being in any way different from everybody else. And far from having to explain as chance those petty events, which made those men what they were, it will be clear to us that all those petty details were inevitable.

When we give up all claim to a knowledge of the final end, we shall

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