The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable полностью

Hintzman, D. L., G. Nozawa, and M. Irmscher, 1982, “Frequency as a Nonpropositional Attribute of Memory.” Journal of Verbal Learning and Verbal Behavior21: 127-141.

Hirshleifer, J., and J. G. Riley, 1992, The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Hladik, Jean,2004,Commentle jeune et ambitieux Einstein s’est approprié la relativité restreintede Poincaré. Paris: Ellipses.

Hoffrage, U., and G. Gigerenzer, 1998, “Using Natural Frequencies to Improve Diagnostic Inferences.” Academic Medicine73(5): 538-540.

Hong, Harrison, and Jeffrey Kubik, 2003, “Analyzing the Analysts: Career Concerns and Biased Earnings Forecasts.” Journal of Finance 58(1): 313-351.

Hopfield, J. J., 1994, “Neurons, Dynamics, and Computation.” Physics Today 47: 40-46.

Horkheimer, Max, and Theodor W. Adorno, 2002, Dialectic of Enlightenment: Philosophical Fragments. Stanford: Stanford University Press.

House, D. K., 1980, “The Life of Sextus Empiricus.” The Classical Quarterly, New Series 30(1): 227-238.

Howe, Leo, and Alan Wain, eds., 1993, Predicting the Future. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Hsee, C. K., and Y. R. Rottenstreich, 2004, “Music, Pandas and Muggers: On the Affective Psychology of Value.” Journal of Experimental Psychology, forthcoming.

Hsieh, David A., 1991, “Chaos and Nonlinear Dynamics: Application to Financial Markets.” Journal of Finance 46(5): 1839-1877.

Huang, C. F, and R. H. Litzenberger, 1988, Foundations for Financial Economics. New York/ Amsterdam/London: North-Holland.

Huber, J. C, 1998, “Cumulative Advantage and Success-Breeds-Success: The Value of Time Pattern Analysis.” Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology49:471-476.

-, 2002, “A. New Model That Generates Lotka’s Law.” Journal of the American Society for

Information Science and Technology53: 209-219.

Huberman, Bernardo A.,2001,The Laws of the Web: Patterns in the Ecology of Information.cambridge, mass.: the mit press.

Hume, David,1748, 2000,A Treatise of Human Nature: Being an Attempt to Introduce the Experimental Method of Reasoning into Moral Subjects.Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Humphrey, Nicholas,1992,A History of the Mind: Evolution and the Birth of Consciousness.new york: copernicus.

Husserl,Edmund,1954,The Crisis of European Sciences and Transcendental Phenomenology.evanston, 111.: Northwestern University Press.

Ierodiakonou, K., and J. P. Vandenbroucke, 1993, “Medicine as a Stochastic Art.” Lancet 341: 542-543. ’

Inagaki, Kayoko, and Giyoo Hatano, 2006, “Do Young Children Possess Distinct Causalities for the Three Core Domains of Thought?” Interdisciplines Conference on Causality, www.interdisciplines.org .

Jablonski, D., K. Roy, J. W Valentine, R. M. Price, and P. S. Anderson, 2003, “The Impact of the Pull of the Recent on the History of Marine Diversity.” Science 300(5622): 1133-1135.

Jacob, John, Thomas Lys, and Margaret Neale, 1999, “Expertise in Forecasting Performance of Security Analysts.” Journal of Accounting and Economics28: 51-82.

Jaynes, E. T., 2003, Probability Theory: The Logic of Science. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Jaynes, Julian,1976,The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind.Newyork: Mariner Books.

Jenkins, Keith, 1991, Re-Thinking History. London: Routledge.

Jeong, H., B. Tombor, R. Albert, Z. N. Oltavi, and A.-L. Barabási, 2000, “The Large-scale Organization of Metabolic Networks.” Nature 407: 651-654.

Joung, Wendy, Beryl Hesketh, and Andrew Neal, 2006, “Using ‘War Stories’ to Train for Adaptive Performance: Is It Better to Learn from Error or Success?” Applied Psychology: An International Review55(2): 282-302.

Juslin, P.,1991,Well-calibrated General Knowledge: An Ecological Inductive Approach to Realismof Confidence. Manuscript submitted for publication. Uppsala, Sweden.