The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable полностью

King, Gary, and Langche Zeng, 2005, “When Can History Be Our Guide? The Pitfalls of Coun-terfactual Inference.” Working Paper, Harvard University.

Kirkpatrick, Mark, and Lee Alan Dugatkin, 1994, “Sexual Selection and the Evolutionary Effects of Copying Mate Choice.” Behavioral Evolutionary Sociobiology 34: 443-449.

Klayman, J., 1995, “Varieties of Confirmation Bias.” In J. Busemeyer, R. Hastie, and D. L. Medin, eds., Decision Making from a Cognitive Perspective. The Psychology of Learning and Motivation 32: 83-136. New York: Academic Press.

Klayman, J., and Y.-W Ha, 1987, “Confirmation, Disconfirmation, and Information in Hypothesis Testing.” Psychological Review 94: 211-228.

Klayman, Joshua, Jack B. Soil, Claudia Gonzalez-Vallejo, and Sema Barlas, 1999, “Overconfi-dence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask.” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 79(3): 216-247.

Klebanoff, Arthur, 2002, The Agent. London: Texere.

Klein, Gary, 1998, Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. Cambridge: The MIT Press.

Knight, Frank, 1921, 1965, Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. New York: Harper and Row.

Koehler, J. J., B. J. Gibbs, and R. M. Hogarth, 1994, “Shattering the Illusion of Control: Multi-shot Versus Single-shot Gambles.” Journal of Behavioral Decision Making7: 183-191.

Koestler, Arthur, 1959, The Sleepwalkers: A History of Man’s Changing Vision of the Universe. London: Penguin.

Korda, Michael, 2000, Another Life: A Memoir of Other People. New York: Random House.

Koriat, A., S. Lichtenstein, and B. Fischhoff, 1980, “Reasons for Confidence.” Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory 6: 107-118.

Kreps, J., and N. B. Davies, 1993, An Introduction to Behavioral Ecology, 3rd ed. Oxford: Black-well Scientific Publications.

Kristeva, Julia, 1998, Time and Sense. New York: Columbia University Press.

Kruger, J., and D. Dunning, 1999, “Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One’s Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 77(6): 1121-1134.

Kunda, Ziva, 1990, “The Case for Motivated Reasoning.” Psychological Bulletin 108: 480-498.

-, 1999, Social Cognition: Making Sense of People. Cambridge: The MIT Press.

Kurz, Mordecai, 1997,"Endogenous Uncertainty: A Unified View of Market Volatility." Working Paper: Stanford University Press.

Kyburg, Henry E., Jf., 1983, Epistemology and Inference. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.

Lad, F, 1984, “The Calibration Question.” British Journal of the Philosophy of Science 35: 213-221.

Lahire, Bernard, 2006, La conditionlittéraire. Paris: Editions La Découverte.

Lakoff, George, and Mark Johnson, 1980, Metaphors We Live By. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.

Lamont, Owen A., 2002, “Macroeconomic Forecasts and Microeconomic Forecasters.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization48(3): 265-280.

Lane, R. D., E. M. Reiman, M. M. Bradley, P. J. Lang, G. L. Ahem, R. J. Davidson, and G. E. Schwartz, 1997, “Neuroanatomical correlates of pleasant and unpleasant emotion.” Neu-ropsychologia 35(11): 1437-1444.

Langer, E. J., 1975, “The Illusion of Control.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 32: 311-328.

Larrick, R. P., 1993, “Motivational Factors in Decision Theories: The Role of Self-Protection.” Psychological Bulletin113: 440-450.

Leary, D. E., 1987, “From Act Psychology to Probabilistic Functionalism: The Place of Egon Brunswik in the History of Psychology.” In M. G. Ash and W. R. Woodward, eds., Psychology in Twentieth-century Thought and Society.Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

LeDoux, Joseph,1998,The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life.new York: Simon & Schuster.

-, 2002,Synaptic Self: How Our Brains Become Who We Are.New York: Viking.

Le Goff, Jacques, 1985, Les intellectuels au moyenage. Paris: Points Histoire.

Levi, Isaac, 1970, Gambling with Truth. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press.