The Eurasian Century полностью

135.Ronald Reagan, Remarks at Moscow State University, May 31, 1988, APP; Chris Miller, The Struggle to Save the Soviet Economy: Mikhail Gorbachev and the Collapse of the USSR (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 2016).

136.National Intelligence Council, “The USSR and the Vulnerability of Empire,” November 27, 1981, CIA Records Search Tool (CREST), National Archives and Research Administration.

137.Watts and Krepinevich, Last Warrior, 119.

138.A. W. Marshall, “Long-Term Competition with the Soviets: A Framework for Strategic Analysis,” RAND Corporation, R-862-PR, April 1972.

139.Harold Brown, Department of Defense Annual Report, Fiscal Year 1982, x.

140.National Security Planning Group Meeting, December 10, 1984, Box 91307, NSPGs, NSC Executive Secretariat File, RRL.

141.“The Russian Wheat Deal,” October 1975, in Kiron Skinner, Annelise Anderson, and Martin Anderson, eds., Reagan, in His Own Hand: The Writings of Ronald Reagan That Reveal His Revolutionary Vision for America (New York: Free Press, 2001), 30–31.

142.“The Madrid Agreement,” January 3, 1984, Box 4, Kampelman Papers, Minnesota Historical Society.

143.Richard Halloran, “Pentagon Draws Up First Strategy for Fighting a Long Nuclear War,” New York Times, May 30, 1982.

144.Gordon Barrass, “U.S. Competitive Strategy during the Cold War,” in Thomas Mahnken, ed., Competitive Strategies for the 21st Century: Theory, History, and Practice (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2012), 85–86; David Walsh, The Military Balance in the Cold War: U.S. Perceptions and Policy, 1976–1985 (New York: Routledge, 2008), 109–28.

145.NSDD-13, October 19, 1981, DNSA; George Wilson, “Preparing for Long Nuclear War Is Waste of Funds, Gen. Jones Says,” Washington Post, June 19, 1982; Austin Long and Brendan Green, “Stalking the Secure Second Strike: Intelligence, Counterforce, and Nuclear Strategy,” Journal of Strategic Studies, January–February 2015, esp. 48–56.

146.Ronald Reagan, Address on Defense and National Security, March 23, 1983, APP.

147.NSC Meeting, November 30, 1983, Box 91303, NSC Meetings, NSC ESF, RRL.

148.Reuters news dispatch, March 18, 1981, Richard Allen Papers, Hoover Institution Archives, Stanford University.

149.Nikolai Ogarkov, speech to Warsaw Pact Chiefs of Staff, September 1982, in Vojtech Mastny and Malcolm Byrne, eds., A Cardboard Castle? An Inside History of the Warsaw Pact, 1955–1991 (Budapest: CEU Press, 2005), 467.

150.Ronald Reagan, Remarks to National Association of Evangelicals, March 8, 1983, APP.

151.NSC Meeting, May 24, 1982, Box 91284, ESF, RRL; also NSC Meeting, 12/21/1981, Box 91283, ESF, RRL; Seth Jones, A Covert Action: Reagan, the CIA, and the Cold War Struggle in Poland (New York: Norton, 2018).

152.Leslie Gelb, “Foreign Affairs; Who Won the Cold War?,” New York Times, August 20, 1992.

153.Discussion on U.S.–Soviet Relations, October 11, 1983, Box 2, Jack Matlock Files, RRL; Ben Fischer, “The 1983 War Scare in U.S.–Soviet Relations,” Center for the Study of Intelligence, 1996, EBB 426, DNSA.

154.Ronald Reagan, Speech at Westminster, June 8, 1982, APP.

155.Jeffrey Engel, When the World Seemed New: George W. Bush and the End of the Cold War (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 2017), 375.

156.Anatoly Chernyaev, My Six Years with Gorbachev (University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press, 1996), 46; Archie Brown, The Gorbachev Factor (New York: Oxford University Press, 1996).

157.Mikhail Gorbachev, Memoirs (Garden City, NY: Doubleday, 1995), 401.

158.Special National Intelligence Estimate, “Gorbachev’s Policy toward the United States,” September 1986, CIA FOIA; Dobrynin, In Confidence, 570.

159.Carolyn Ekedahl and Melvin Goodman, The Wars of Eduard Shevardnadze (University Park: Penn State University Press, 1997), 100–101; Jack Matlock, Autopsy on an Empire: The American Ambassador’s Account of the Collapse of the Soviet Union (New York: Random House, 1996), 57–67.

160.Ronald Reagan, “Gorbachev,” October 13, 1985, Box 215, Donald Regan Papers, LC; Ronald Reagan, Remarks in West Berlin, June 12, 1987, APP.

161.Notes of Shultz–Gorbachev Meeting, April 14, 1987, Box 5, Don Oberdorfer Papers, SMML.