The Eurasian Century полностью

103.Julian Gewirtz, “The Chinese Reassessment of Interdependence,” China Leadership Monitor, June 1, 2020; also “China’s ‘Dual-Circulation’ Strategy Means Relying Less on Foreigners,” Economist, November 7, 2020; Chris Miller, Chip War: The Fight for the World’s Most Critical Technology (New York: Scribner, 2022).

104.Matt Pottinger, Testimony, U.S.–China Economic and Security Review Commission, April 15, 2021. See also Mark Leonard, The Age of Unpeace: How Connectivity Causes Conflict (New York: Bantam, 2021).

105.“Obama: Ukraine ‘Vulnerable’ to Russian ‘Military Domination’ No Matter What U.S. Does,” Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, March 10, 2016.

106.David Larter, “White House Tells the Pentagon to Quit Talking about ‘Competition’ with China,” Navy Times, September 26, 2016; Jeffrey Goldberg, “The Obama Doctrine,” Atlantic, April 2016.

107.Kurt Campbell and Mira Rapp-Hooper, “China Is Done Biding Its Time,” Foreign Affairs, July 15, 2020.

108.“How It Happened: Transcript of the U.S.–China Opening Remarks in Alaska,” Nikkei Asia, March 19, 2021.

109.National Security Strategy of the United States of America (Washington, DC: The White House, 2017); National Security Strategy (Washington, DC: The White House, 2022).

110.Nina Kollars and Jacquelyn Schneider, “Defending Forward: The 2018 Cyber Strategy Is Here,” War on the Rocks, September 20, 2018; Thomas Gibbons-Neff, “How a 4-Hour Battle between Russian Mercenaries and U.S. Commandos Unfolded in Syria,” New York Times, May 24, 2018.

111.Carla Babb, “Pentagon Launches Effort to Better Address China Challenge,” Voice of America, June 9, 2021.

112.Chris Miller, “America Is Going to Decapitate Huawei,” New York Times, September 15, 2020.

113.Steven Lee Myers and Chris Buckley, “Biden’s China Strategy Meets Resistance at the Negotiating Table,” New York Times, July 26, 2021.

114.Tanvi Madan, “The Rise, Fall, and Rebirth of the ‘Quad,’ ” War on the Rocks, November 16, 2017; Abe Shinzo, “Asia’s Democratic Security Diamond,” Project Syndicate, December 27, 2012.

115.Ishaan Tharoor, “China and Russia Draw Closer, but How Close?,” Washington Post, May 26, 2023.

116.Steven Lee Myers and Amy Qin, “Why Biden Seems Worse to China Than Trump,” New York Times, July 20, 2021; Jacob Benjamin, “French Naval Activity in the South China Sea on the Rise,” Geopolitics, July 7, 2021.

117.Michael Green, Line of Advantage: Japan’s Grand Strategy in the Era of Abe Shinzo (New York: Columbia University Press, 2022), 3–4; Abe, “Asia’s Democratic Security Diamond.”

118.On this dynamic, see also Jakub Grygiel and A. Wess Mitchell, The Unquiet Frontier: Rising Rivals, Vulnerable Allies, and the Crisis of American Power (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2016), esp. 86–88.

119.“Remarks by President Trump at Signing of the U.S.–China Phase One Trade Agreement,” White House, January 15, 2020.

120.Michael Beckley and Hal Brands, “The Return of Pax Americana? Putin’s War Is Fortifying the Democratic Alliance,” Foreign Affairs, March 14, 2022.

121.“Taiwan Will Fight ‘to the Very Last Day’ If China Attacks,” Diplomat, April 8, 2021.

122.Sharon Braithwaite, “Zelensky Refuses US Offer to Evacuate, Saying ‘I Need Ammunition, Not a Ride,’ ” CNN, February 26, 2022.

123.Jim Sciutto and Katie Bo Williams, “U.S. Concerned Kyiv Could Fall to Russia within Days, Sources Familiar with Intel Say,” CNN, February 25, 2022; author’s discussion with U.S. officials, February 2023.

124.Serhii Plokhy, The Gates of Europe: A History of Ukraine (New York: Basic Books, 2017).

125.Author’s discussion with Indian official, August 2021.

126.Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community, April 9, 2021.

127.Vladimir Putin, “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians,” July 12, 2021, Kremlin website; Mikhail Zygar, All the Kremlin’s Men: Inside the Court of Vladimir Putin (New York: PublicAffairs, 2016), 153.

128.Max Seddon, Christopher Miller, and Felicia Schwartz, “How Putin Blundered into Ukraine—Then Doubled Down,” Financial Times, February 23, 2023.

129.See Garrett M. Graff, “ ‘Something Was Badly Wrong’: When Washington Realized Russia Was Actually Invading Ukraine,” Politico, February 24, 2023.